Middle East 5

Oil rises to yet another record

Oil prices in London and New York have hit fresh record highs on the risk of supply disruptions and signs that Opec is unwilling to raise output further.

US light, sweet crude hit a record high of $117.40 a barrel, while of Brent crude peaked at $114.65 a barrel.

The impending closure of a large oil refinery in Scotland, ahead of strike by workers, and its potential impact on North Sea supplies worried traders.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) reiterated that prices were too high.

It said the recent surge in prices, driven by supply concerns and the weak dollar, was making life particularly painful for developing nations that do not produce their own oil.

Pipeline attacks

US light, sweet crude passed the $117-a-barrel mark on Monday before easing slightly to $116.96. Brent crude also fell back slightly to $114.20 after reaching its latest historic peak.

A range of factors including the uncertain situation at Grangemouth - one of the largest refineries in the UK - and fresh attacks by militants on pipelines in Nigeria spurred prices on.

A Nigerian militant group claimed it had carried out two attacks on oil pipelines in the south of the country.

Royal Dutch Shell said on Monday that previous attacks on a pipeline in Nigeria last week would lead to a drop in production of about 169,000 barrels per day for shipments in April and May.

Opec stance

Comments by Opec's president Chakib Khelil that the producers' body would not be prepared to raise quotas to try and curb the latest price spike also added momentum.

"Opec's assertion that an increase in its oil production will not help to bring down prices should be put to the test," the Centre for Global Energy Studies said.

Although concerned about current price levels, the IEA predicts prices will fall as the slowing of industrialised economies reduces demand for oil.

It predicts world oil demand will slow by an average of 300,000 barrels per day this year, primarily as a result of the economic slowdown in the US.

Nobuo Tanaka, the IEA's head, did not repeat his call to oil producing countries to increase production to try bring prices down from their record levels.

"If oil-producing countries were to maintain their current level of production, inventories would be replenished, " he said.

"That will lead to better-balanced fundamentals, assuming there are no unforeseen geopolitical events, leakages, accidents, hazardous weather or port strikes." (BBC News)

2 comments:

Ivo Cerckel said...

“the recent surge in prices, driven by supply concerns and the weak dollar”

Still, some are arguing that if OPEC were to sell oil in Honest Money, it would be using oil to choke the US economy and its citizens.
http://www.hawaiireporter.com/story.aspx?ff0ac11a-170f-447b-91ae-0eeb9ddf8f49

Iran rejects calls for OPEC action over oil price
AFP - Wednesday, April 16 08:44 am
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/afp/20080416/twl-opec-energy-oil-output-price-iran-3cd7efd.html

Ivo:
By pricing oil in euros, Iran has taken the first step towards lowering oil prices, as Iranian oil is no longer being exchanged for a worthless piece of green paper, also known as the US dollar.
Iran has done that in order to hurt the US, the issuer of the US dollars in which other oil producers, except Venezuela, are pricing oil.
Why does Iran oppose other oil producers following its example and stopping pricing oil in US dollar?
Because that would lower oil prices?

Henry Hazlitt, 1946
http://jim.com/econ/chap01p1.html
The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate but at the longer effects of any act or policy; it consists in tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups.

Ivo:
Two energy conferences are going on in Rome since Sunday until today, Tuesday.
Most OPEC oil ministers are in Rome,
OPEC must convene an extraordinary meeting in Rome
for today, Tuesday, or tomorrow
(those oil ministers and even the OPEC President who are not present can attend by video-conference)
and at that meeting, OPEC must follow Iran’s example
and ease global economic jitters by pricing oil in euro,
http://bphouse.com/blaze/honest_money/2008/03/08/opec-must-call-extraordinary-meeting-now/

Iran’s president Ahmadinejad having said on Saturday that as the dollar is only ”a handful of paper”, oil needs to discover its real value.
http://www.1010wins.com/topic/ap_news.php?story=AP/APTV/National/f/f/APFN-Iran-Oil

Oil and gas for euro
simply because the euro is evolving into a gold-euro
through the European Central Bank marking its gold reserves to market.

The Real World: Putin in Libya
Published: April 18, 2008
http://www.metimes.com/Politics/2008/04/18/the_real_world_putin_in_libya/2760/
SNIP
Reportedly, Gadhafi told Putin that he favors the idea of a gas OPEC, a notion that Russia appears to share with Iran and Venezuela, and which one day may do to the liquefied natural gas (LNG) market what OPEC has done to oil. Furthermore, the two leaders discussed cooperation in the field of nuclear energy. Policy makers in Washington are fuming and biting their nails – "bad Vlad" is apparently outfoxing them yet again.

Ivo:
ONCE
the world will be allowed to know that
the past three decades of cheap Arabian oil
have been made possible by the flow of cheap gold
to the Saudi Arabia oil-central bank
THEN
most will start to understand what the gold-euro really means.

Ivo Cerckel
ivocerckel AT siquijor DOT ws
http://blogs.siliconindia.com/goldrupee

Ivo Cerckel said...

Saudi King Abdullah drops quiet bombshell; U.S. media sleep through it
Published on 21 Apr 2008 by ASPO-USA
http://www.energybulletin.net/43048.html
SNIP
On April 13, Reuters reported the following from Riyadh:
Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah said he had ordered some new oil discoveries left untapped to preserve oil wealth in the world's top exporter for future generations…
"When there were some new finds, I told them, 'no, leave it in the ground, with grace from god, our children need it'," King Abdullah said…
Saudi production capacity stands at around 11.3 million bpd, and is scheduled to rise to 12.5 million bpd next year.
UNSNIP

To repeat:
ONCE
the world will be allowed to know that
the past three decades of cheap Arabian oil
have been made possible by the flow of cheap gold
to the Saudi Arabia oil-central bank
THEN
most will start to understand what the gold-euro really means.